These things usually just fall into my stream of conciousness as I figure it out so here goes…
Bandit Division
South Park Cows hold a two game lead over Fudgie Whales in this division with two games to play…technically not a lock yet, but the Magic Number is 1 – one loss by the Whales or one win for the Cows will secure the Division Title. If Cows lose out and Whales win out, Whales can claim the Division by way of Division Record tiebreaker.
Storm Division
The situation is identical here – Playground Legends playing spoiler this week has given UO Grandmasters a two game lead over Bay Area Thrashers with two to play….Thrashers must win the head-to-head matchup this week to stay in it, but the Magic Number would still be 1 for UO in week 13….UO losing out and Thrashers wining out would give the title here to Thrashers on Division Record tiebreaker.
Buccaneer Division
Runs N Throses and Hurricanes are tied up in record, they split head-to-head, and Runs N Throses holds the lead by way of Division Record tiebreaker….The surging XFactor team trails by only two games with two to play as well and faces both of these teams to close out the season….technically if they sweep and Warriors can sweep their remining two games, XFactor can still win the division…but a single win by RNT or Hurricanes will take them out of title contention…If RNT and the Canes remain tied at 9 or 10 wins, RNT will take the title on Division Record tiebreaker, Hurricanes must end with a better record than RNT to take the crown.
OVERALL
Four teams have 8 wins, but three other teams can still get there so none of them have technically locked up a playoff spot yet…..a single loss going forward by either XFactor, Bay Area Thrashers, or Fudgie Whales guarantees that any team with 8 wins is in the playoffs…..
At the other end of the spectrum – if those three teams were to lose out and stay at 6 wins – they would open the door for Armed N Dangerous and Marauders….Armed N Dangerous can throw a monkey wrench into things due to not playing XFactor, causing a tiebreak at Division Record. This could allow a 6-7 Marauders team to get in on a 5-1 Division Record and then AND to get in on a 3-3 Division Record. If AND misses the 6 win mark, XFactor will have swept the remaining 6 win teams, taking Seed #5, and Marauders again could get in with Division Record tiebreaks over the rest of the field…..
So technically at this point only Warriors, Playground Legends, and Money Inc are officially eliminated.
If The Playoffs Started Today:
South Park Cows would now be the #1 Seed holding an ass whooping on UO Grandmasters and a four point victory over Runs N Throses.
Runs N Throses comes down to the #2 Seed holding a five point Week 4 victory over UO Grandmasters.
UO Grandmasters as the remaining Division Champ would hold the #3 Seed adn host a Wildcard Game.
Hurricanes with the best at large record would be the #4 Seed and host the other Wildcard Game.
XFactor by virtue of four point victories over Thrashers and Fudgie Whales is the #5 Seed.
Fudgie Whales by virtue of a four point victory over Thrashers in Week 4 would take the #6 Seed.